Tiger Woods last night announced to the world that he’ll take his place at Augusta this week for the 79th US Masters tournament but just how far can he go as he attempts to make his way back to the very top of the game?
The four-time Winner of the famous Green Jacket is as big as 50/1 with Bet365 to do so once more next weekend. There’s been a little bit of money on this one as he’s been backed in from 80s yesterday. Hands up those who thought you’d ever see Tiger at those odds when he was back in his pomp?
It looks a tall order when you consider that he couldn’t break 80 in his first 2015 event at the Phoenix Open.
For a Top Ten finish Woods is a 5/1 chance at Betfred. Since winning it for the first time in 1997 Woods has finished in the Top Ten an incredible 13 times in 17 attempts.
For a Top Five finish you can get 10/1 at Betfred. He’s managed that on 11 of those 17 occasions.
So what should we be looking for in terms of value when it comes to Tiger? I’m not a fan of betting on people to fail but if you believe Kyle Porter of CBS Sports you shouldn’t be backing him to make the cut, certainly not at odds of 8/11. Instead, if you follow his line of thinking you’d be all over the quotes of Evens at William Hill and Paddy Power that he’ll miss the cut.
Two stats from Kyle’s article stand out;
That’s no kind of form to be taking to Augusta and makes odds of 50/1 that he can win it look ridiculous. Its a very different Tiger Woods to the one that has prowled the Augusta National in the past – he’s currently ranked 104th in the world! In normal circumstances you’d say that the pressure is off and he can just play his natural game. But who knows what is left of that game?
Sadly it looks like this coming weekend we’ll see a real measure of just how far Tiger still has to go reach the top of the tree again. So steer clear of any notion that he can win it – regardless of how high the odds are and have yourself an interest in the Even money about him progressing no further after Day Two.
Back Tiger Woods to miss the cut Evens (Paddy Power)