After a few weeks off I’m feeling refreshed and ready to win. After a hectic couple of weeks with work and alcohol, I’m ready to win some money to fund my latest quest to boost my ego and walk round with my chest pumped out knowing I’ve won the treble for you lucky lot. And myself, of course.
Some people don’t like betting against their own team, but if I can find value in Newcastle or Celtic games, I will. This week sees Hull City travel up the coast to St James’ Park in an attempt to get their first points of the season away from Humberside.
Steve Bruce’s last visit to St James’ Park coincided with a 5-1 thrashing by the Newcastle team, and one that will live long in the memory of those living on Tyneside. A Kevin Nolan hat-trick put Sunderland to the sword, but this is very much a different Newcastle team and one that Steve Bruce will be determined to win.
The home side used to be formidable at home, but those days are gone. However, I feel Newcastle have turned a corner since the Manchester City game on the first game of the season. Last week saw the Magpies play their strongest XI and concede their first goal since the opening day of the season. They also looked a lot more threatening with the returning Cabaye and Remy offering a different dimension than previous games.
The home side actually have a very good spine, and I don’t think they’re anywhere near as bad as what the media and some Newcastle supporters have said. Krul, Coloccini, Cabaye, Cisse is certainly good enough to achieve at least mid-table. If you add Ben Arfa to that list, I’m sure most would agree.
On the other hand, Hull City are yet to score away from home in the league, and needed extra time to do so in the League Cup against Leyton Orient. I suppose they do have Danny Graham up front…
For the first time since February, Newcastle’s victory over Aston Villa was the first time they secured back-to-back Premier League wins. I fully expect them to make it three wins in a row. I was tempted by the under 2.5 goals price with Hull’s last four games in the Premier League winning in this category and Newcastle’s last 3 home games. However, that’s a slightly worse price and I believe the value is in a home win.
Queens Park Rangers cost me quite a bit of money midweek, but I’m hoping they’re going to make it up to me this weekend.
On Saturday they visit Huish Park to play a Yeovil side who have not won in their past five games. On the other hand, Queens Park Rangers are undefeated in seven. The away side have kept a clean sheet in their last five games, and are yet to concede a goal with Richard Dunne in the centre of defence. They have only conceded two goals all season.
The home side have not won since the opening day of the season, and although the away team are struggling to score goals, they are still grinding out results. A sign of a good side, according to Alan Hansen.
The team has plenty of Premier League experience and this should be an easy task for the away side. Their midfield does have an industrious look about it, but with Matt Phillips and Shaun Wright-Phillips in the side creative openings should take place. Charlie Austin has a fantastic eye for goal and proved that last season at Burnley and could take advantage of a side that will be battling against relegation.
Accrington Stanley, who are they? Famous words and they could do with a big win after being defeated by another poor side, Hartlepool United last week.
This week they face a Rochdale side that have won two of their past three games and have aspirations of the playoffs this season. I would love James Beattie to be a success as a manager and pull it round, but this week looks a tough ask.
Accrington Stanley have only scored one goal in their past seven games. A shocking statistic for any team, and even Alex Higgins would baulk at the prospect of having a punt on the home side. Rochdale are much stronger at home, but the nearby trip to Accrington should be an easy chance for them
Rochdale win 23/20 BetVictor