With a full card to chose from this weekend @sportingbetmark is feeling confident that this week it’ll be the coveted 3 out of 3 for his selections. Here we go…
I’ve received a few grumbling tweets from Sheffield Wednesday fans on Twitter asking what beef I have with the Owls after constantly opposing them. But this week I’m getting Wednesday right on side as they chase their first Championship win of the season…
At 4/5 quotes this bet requires little introduction, explanation or theory. Yeovil, the smallest club ever to play second tier football, are finding the going tough as we head into September.
After a memorable opening day victory at Millwall, they’ve slumped to four straight defeats and failed to worry the scoreboard in the process. At looking at the way Millwall are playing, that win doesn’t seem quite to impressive now.
Worryingly for Gary Johnson’s Glovers, three of those four losses came at home where they’ve been so strong over the years and it points to a season of struggle, especially on the road where they lost 4 of their 7 trips to top-eight League One clubs last season, leaking 14 goals.
Yeovil have lost 4 of their 6 matches against Wednesday and never tasted success against the Owls who despite Dave Jones’ insistence on blaming referees for poor results, have actually looked fairly good in patches.
Wednesday’s problem has been holding their leads. They’ve lost 9 points from winning positions, including their last match at Hillsbrough against struggling Milwall. Goals haven’t been a problem but keeping them out has been – both teams to score has paid out in all five of the Owls’ league fixtures but they really ought to end a run of three successive draws with maximum points from Saturday’s encounter, at a more than fair 4/5.
Mark’s Best Bet
Sheffield Wednesday to win at 4/5 (1.80) with Sportingbet
Coventry continue to hog the League One limelight but for now, it’s their football which is making headlines. Despite the desperate circumstances Stephen Pressley has been dealt, the Sky Blues have already wiped out their 10-point deduction and moved off the bottom of League One.
They deserve huge praise and young striker Callum Wilson’s eight goals have already alerted managers at clubs in higher places. And it’s his and Coventry’s goalscoring ability I want to capitalise on this weekend.
Odds of 8/11 on Coventry to score Over 1.5 Goals against Gillingham are too good to turn down. In league games this season, the Sky Blues have struck 2, 5, 4, 4,1 and 2. Despite playing home games 40 miles away at Northampton’s Sixfields, their tallies at home read 5, 4 and 2 against opponents Bristol City, Preston and Colchester – all could be argued are a better calibre opposition than Sunday’s opponents Gillingham.
I’m a big Martin Allen fan but they’ve already leaked 12 goals this season – 9 of which have come away from Priestfield. Wolves scored 4, Swindon managed 2 and Crawley hit 3 and unless they start to tighten up, they could be in for a very long season, especially away.
So simply following the goals, I’ve just got to be with Coventry and I’ll be investing in them to score at least two goals – it’s 8/11 on Coventry to score Over 1.5 Goals against Gillingham on Sunday afternoon.
Mark’s Best Bet
Coventry to score Over 1.5 Goals v Gillingham at 8/11 (1.72) with Sportingbet
Rounding off this week’s Football League picks is arguably the biggest game on the coupon – the bottom two from League Two meet; it’s Hartlepool against Accrington and Colin Cooper against James Beattie.
Some pundits are already calling it a 6-pointer with the losers boss potentially facing the chop. Whatever the result both Cooper and Beattie deserve much more time to work things out and rather than attempt to pick a potential Winner, I’m going to put my money and faith in another dour encounter involving these two shot-shy sides.
Rather than take Under 2.5 Goals at 8/11 or the half-time draw at 21/20, I’m taking a chance on no first-half goals at 17/10. Neither Pools nor Accy have netted a first-half goal this season with Hartlepool’s only league goal in six matches coming in the 93rd of 94 minutes last weekend in a home defeat by Wycombe – yes that spoilt are Under 2.5 Goals selection last weekend!
Accrington have fired blanks in their last 4 League Two matches and they did fail to score in 9 of their 23 away games last season too. It’s a huge game for both sides and although Accy can be quite leaky at the back, I expect both teams to keep things tight until half-time before letting go of the reigns a little in the final 45 minutes.
So 17/10 on Under 0.5 first-half goals in the Hartlepool-Accrington match.
Mark’s Best Bet
Under 0.5 first-half goals between Hartlepool and Accrington at 17/10 (2.70) with Sportingbet.