So close! No, it’s not a title of a season review of Newcastle United during the Kevin Keegan era, but the result of the treble last week.
Leeds United and Sheffield Wednesday let us down with only the two goals scored. The away side should have had a penalty in the last minute, might I add. I’m not bitter at all.
Anyway it’s a new week and a bank holiday weekend so I could do with some extra pennies for the heavy and late nights out struggling to stand up. Three more selections are on the way, and hopefully this is the week we can all celebrate in style.
Firstly I’m off to Villa Park for a match against Brendan Rodgers’ Liverpool side. I know Paul Lambert’s men have played an extra game midweek against a tough Chelsea side, but they battled away well after a superb win over Arsenal at the Emirates last week.
Liverpool on the other hand got off to a win against Stoke City last week with Daniel Sturridge opening his scoring for the season and Simon Mignolet saving a penalty to keep the opposition at bay. It would not be surprising to see Sturridge score once again playing in the main striker role and he has scored seven goals in his last six league appearances.
Last season Liverpool travelled to Villa Park and won 2-1, but at the time the opposition were in a relegation dogfight and low on morale. After last week’s victory against Arsenal their mentality will be very different.
Since Liverpool beat Villa away from home they have drawn four of their next six games away from home and the odds of around even money for a Liverpool win do not appeal to me at all.
Despite Liverpool having a decent head to head record at Villa Park, the 3/1 on offer is tremendous value for the home side. They will certainly have the pace to counter attack the away side and will be full of confidence too. Benteke as usual will provide the main goalscoring threat.
However, I am going to err on the side of caution and have a bet on the Draw-No-Bet on offer for Aston Villa at tasty odds of around 2/1. I feel this is a false price and the home side have been massively underrated.
Aston Villa Draw-No-Bet: 2/1 – William Hill
My second selection sees a recently promoted side facing a team hoping to build on the last two years of staving off relegation and moving up the league.
After an impressive draw at Carrow Road against Everton last week Norwich travel to Steve Bruce’s Hull City who will be battling for every point they play for. Apart from when they played against Chelsea, obviously. Looking at the prices the bookies believe that too.
Hull are undefeated in their last five matches against Norwich in all competitions, however, Norwich City have invested heavily since they last played each other. The Canaries now have Van Wolfswinkel, Gary Hooper and new boy Johann Elmander to choose from in the attacking third. Norwich have also scored at least two goals in their last three matches in the Premier League.
Admittedly Hull City had a good home record last season, but the Premier League is a massive step up. Tom Huddlestone is a terrific addition and their other new signing, Jake Livermore makes me look in disbelief that he is an English International. They have an average team and if Norwich City want to kick on this season to be on the fringes of a European spot they need to be beating teams like Hull City.
In addition Hull City have not scored a Barclays Premier League goal at home for 357 minutes. A statistic against Norwich City is that they have won just five points from their last 10 away games in the Premier League. For this reason, I’m going to go for the DNB option at odds against for Norwich City.
Once again this week I’ll be looking to back Darren Ferguson’s side in League One.
They should not be odds against, in the form they’re in and the quality they possess for this league. I always look to have a bet on those in form at odds against prices and Peterborough look like an opportunity too good to miss this week.
The Posh ended the season tremendously well after Christmas last year and have started this one with three victories from three. They have played twice away from home this season against League One opposition and scored nine goals.
In contrast Tranmere Rovers have only won one of their past four league games at home. In their one home league game so far this season they drew 3-3 against Crawley Town, so look likely to concede goals and show signs of a leaky defence. The home side have also failed to win their last nine matches in League One.
In the last three home matches involving Tranmere there have been more than 2.5 goals scored in the game. Tranmere have also only won one of the past six meetings against Peterborough. In the current form they’re in, I’m confident of an away victory.