Which of the mighty 4 will win?
According to most bookmakers, tennis media and tennis fanatics the race to the men’s Wimbledon title is between only 4 players. Can you guess who they are by any chance? That’s right, Andy Murray, Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic and of course recent French Open Winner Rafael Nadal.
I mention Andy Murray’s name first as he is the last player to win a title on the Wimbledon grass. No, not at last year‘s championships, but a few weeks later at the London 2012 Olympics. Murray destroyed Federer to win the Gold medal and gain revenge on Federer who had defeated Murray in the actual Wimbledon 2012, bringing Andy and most of the spectators to tears of emotion.
Murray has recently taken a few weeks off the tour, resting his injured back from the gruelling clay court rallies of the French Open and making sure he is in peak condition in trying to win the 2nd Grand Slam event of his career. No one can deny his game is well suited to grass. He has great feel for the Wimbledon courts and with a roaring crowd behind him, Andy Murray (11/4 Bet365) is going to be hard to beat! Last week he won the Aegon Championships at Queens Club for the 3rd time in his career and showed he is ready to mount a serious challenge in the next few weeks at the All England Club.
The patriotic crowd will play a big part in the success of Murray. They were immense at the Olympics and will be the same at this Grand Slam event! The London 2012 Gold medal and the fact that Andy has broken his duck at Grand Slams with his 2012 US Open title, make Murray a true contender and any opponent will have to be at the top of their game to topple the Brit.
Novak Djokovic (6/4 Bet365) is many people’s tip for the title. The world number 1 and 2011 champion has the game to win again, but he has suffered some upsets in the past at Wimbledon, namely his loss to Berdych in 2010 & Haas in 2009. I think the Serbian is beatable on the surface and is too short a price.
Rafa Nadal (11/4 Bet365) is in confident mood after winning his 8th French Open only a few weeks ago. He is another former champion here back in 2010 and 2008 and has reached the final a further 3 times. Last year he lost out to Lukas Rosol, which shocked not only himself but the entire tennis world. After taking 6 months off the tour to get himself back to full fitness the Spaniard has dominated the clay court season, but will he be back to his best on grass? Seeded only 5th this year due to his time off, Nadal will have a tough draw, but the same could be said for his opponents who face the tennis legend. I think Murray, Djokovic and Federer are all more than capable of defeating Rafa, who still has last years demons to overcome.
Federer (5/1 Bet365) is an interesting player for this years Championships. I think the Swiss legend is a big price to retain his title and to win his 8th Wimbledon title. The big motivation for Federer is to equal Nadal’s new record of winning 8 grand slams at one single Grand Slam, set by the Spaniard at Roland Garros this year. The Swiss is very difficult to defeat over 5 sets on grass and his recent win in Halle, Germany suggests Roger is in good form and hungry to fight his younger rivals all the way. Wimbledon is Federer’s best chance to still win Grand Slams in the later stages of his career and mark my words, no-one wants to have to face him before at least the final.
So who else can threaten the top 4 players?
David Ferrer (80/1 Bet365) is actually seeded ahead of Nadal at this year’s Championships causing much controversy from tennis aficionados. He reached his 1st Grand Slam final at Roland Garros and although he has won grass court events in his career, will struggle to go futher than the 4th round or Quarter-finals at Wimbledon.
Jo Wilfried Tsonga (16/1 Bet365) is another formidable grass court player. He has reached the later stages of Wimbledon on several occasions and is able to cause the top 4 players some problems. Again his serve is well suited to grass and he is difficult to break when playing well. A possible semi-finalist depending on his draw, but he needs to believe in himself to be able to go further than that
2010 runner up Tomas Berdych (40/1 Bet365) is another player capable of an upset on the grass. He defeated Djokovic and Federer in 2010 before being sent home empty handed by a strong Nadal. I am not sure The Czech is that sort of form this year, but you never know with grass, it can do strange things to a players confidence and he could threaten anyone not playing at 100%
The likes of Juan Martin Del Potro (33/1 Bet365), Richard Gasquet (125/1 Bet365) and Tommy Haas (80/1 Bet365) can all play well on this surface and are capable of causing upsets, though they will have to be at their very best to beable to threaten for the Wimbledon title, while the big serving Sam Querrey (200/1 Bet365) and John Isner (100/1) will hope the to play well for the mighty USA tennis nation.
Grigor Dimitrov (66/1 Bet365) is a former junior champion here and continues to improve his ranking and game. I think he will be a force but probably Wimbledon 2013 is a year too soon, and Marin Cilic (80/1 Bet365) is another who is capable, but not achieved enough yet in his career
Unseeded players this year that could spring a surprise or two are former Quarter-finalists Feliciano Lopez (300/1 Bet365) and Bernard Tomic (150/1 Bet365) but neither are consistent enough against top players to threaten.
Much will depend on the luck of the Wimbledon draw!