A run of three games without a win means Atletico have been usurped in the league table by Real Madrid. With Real winning again on Saturday evening, Diego Simeone’s side need the three points to stay in touch with their neighbours.
The Basque country is never an easy place to visit however and after Sociedad won at the Vicente Calderon last week, Osasuna will be hopeful they can inflict another blow upon the capital’s side, scoring another victory for the region.
Relegation remains a very real threat for Osasuna after back-to-back defeats at home to Bilbao in the Basque derby before losing away to Betis last week. Francisco Silva scored and then was sent off last weekend so he will miss the game through suspension. On the Atletico side, Diego Godin is also suspended having picked up a fifth yellow card of the season last week.
Osasuna have lost only eleven times at home over the past three seasons but despite their solid home record, Atletico have won on their last two visits to Pamplona and are unbeaten in the last six meetings overall, winning five.
In Madrid earlier this season, Atletico won 3-1 with Falcao scoring the final decisive goal but the Colombian is going through somewhat of a drought by his standards having faield to score in his last two games – which coincides with the team drawing a blank twice in a row. Falcao has only gone three games without scoring once over the last year but he may find it hard to get back on the score sheet this weekend against a stingy Osasuna backline.
Only Atletico Madrid themselves have conceded fewer goals at home in the league this season than Osasuna – although in addition to that, no team has scored less than Jose Luis Mendilibar’s side in front of their own fans. With Atletico out of touch in front of goal recently as well, we would expect a low scoring game, similar to the 1-0 win Atletico earned here last season.
Osasuna have only conceded once in the first half at home this season whilst Atletico have netted only five times before the break away from home. We like the look of 17/10 (Ladbrokes) against the score remaining 0-0 at half-time on Sunday.