Tuesday 21st November 2017,

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Greg’s Daily Selections: Value Seeking An Anti-Climax At Kempton

posted by Greg Larmouth
Greg’s Daily Selections: Value Seeking An Anti-Climax At Kempton

There’s some decent looking races on the all weather to start the week off, and I’m hoping to pick a couple of decent sorts to make it a profitable start to the week. I’m going to be concentrating on the meeting at Kempton, where there’s already been some early movement in the market.

2:50 Kempton

Adam Kirby is always worth a bet on the all-weather, though he is significantly better at Wolverhampton or Lingfield, where his record in the past 5 seasons shows 25% success, in comparison to 14% here at Kempton. His mount in this, Bridge The Gap, definitely appeals, and the early 7/1 from Bet365 didn’t last long (9/2 at time of writing). Bearing in mind the poor record Roger Ingram’s horses have at this track, it may be worth opposing based on the stats however.

This brings me onto the first selection. Shirataki has won 3 times at Kempton, 2 over C&D, and all steered by today’s jockey Chris Catlin. He is 5lb lower than when last winning here, and has been running well without winning recently as well. Bet365 offer 14/1 for the gelding, which is massive in my opinion.

3:20 Kempton

Athwaab has won 4 times at this track already, and 3 times over C&D, a significantly better record than any others in this race. The horse is also back to a more agreeable mark, and having had a nice comeback run last week, she should be fully tuned up for this back at her favourite track. Surprisingly Bet365 offer 8/1 for her in this race, and while favourite Climaxfortackle (2/1 with Bet365 at time of writing) will be the horse to beat, a place certainly isn’t beyond this horse.

 

These are a couple of bigger priced horses, but an e/w double may well be worth a shot at 134/1 with Bet365, as well as the singles.

Good luck if you’re having a punt and let me know how you get on @GregLarmouth

Greg’s Selections:

Shirataki (14/1) e/w Bet365

Athwaab (8/1) e/w Bet365

Double (134/1) e/w Bet365

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Meet the Author

I've been going to the races since I was a kid, so always liked a flutter, but it's only in the last couple of years I've really put some time into studying form and stats etc. From there I started my blog, which helped me concentrate on specific races (maidens), and found my selections being pretty successful. I also like a bet on the football, NBA and occasionally boxing.

User Name: Greg Larmouth

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