The common perception is that Brendan Rodgers finally has his Liverpool side whipped in to shape, but look beneath the surface and a home win over the Baggies isn’t necessarily the certainty the bookies are predicting it to be.
Paddy Power offer the best price on the home win at a measly 2/5. I can’t fathom those odds on a side that’s failed to beat any side in the top half of the Premier League this season; P13, W0, D7 L6.
They may not have a better chance of ending that run though, up against a side who have only won one point from their last possible 18. Yes, West Brom’s season is going downhill fast. But this is the Premier League, one in which any team is capable of beating any other as Southampton proved against an ailing Man City on Saturday. The Baggies are a huge price at 10/1 with BetVictor and to me that looks like value.
Especially when you consider their recent history in this fixture. They’ve won 3 of the last 4 meetings between the two sides including an impressive win at Anfield last season. A certain Peter Odemwinge scored the Winner on that occasion and the somewhat Prodigal-like son is 5/1 with William Hill to score again, should he feature.
Despite the burgeoning partnership between Sturridge and Suarez I’m still not convinced of the supposed Reds Revival. Their only win in the last 5 has been at home to Norwich, albeit they’ve drawn with City and Arsenal and lost to league leaders Man Utd. They’ve failed to win in 50% of their home matches. I won’t be touching that 2/5 Paddy, thanks anyway.
Instead I’m going with West Brom to put a spanner in the works for Rodgers. It’ll be small stake on West Brom to win outright at 10/1 plus a bigger investment on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 of a start at 21/10 with Bet365 – that means we’ll be quids in if they manage a draw.