£10,000 Challenge: Bet of the Day No.16

October has been a nightmare on the betting front but the £10k Challenge is doing OK (touch wood!).

I’m going back into Norway this lunchtime where I picked out three potential Overs games. I genuinely couldn’t decide between Nybergsund v Moss FK, Lov Ham Bergen v Alta IF or Sarpsborg 08 v Ham-Kam, all of which showed up well in the system for Over 2.5 goals.

In the end I’ve plumped for the game between Nybergsund and Moss FK. All 3 of their last meetings have finished overs and games at Nybergsund’s home ground have an average of 3.28 per match. Moss’s away matches are slightly lower but still above the magic 2.5 per game at 2.86. Both have been featuring in high scoring matches recently; Nybergsund’s last 6 games have seen 24 goals, whilst Moss’s have seen 26 – so both well over 4 a game.

Let’s hope the run continues today. I rate this a 7/10 bet so will be betting with 70% of half my balance.

Selection: Over 2.5 goals – Nybergsund – Moss FK. £163.57 @ 1/2 with Coral.

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