Comments on: £20,000 Challenge: Bet of the Day No.36

By: selectabet

selectabet — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 19:33:43 +0000

Sorry if I talked you out of that FC Twente game.

They’re 3 up at HT!

By: selectabet

selectabet — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:53:58 +0000

For the record, FT 2-5.

By: selectabet

selectabet — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:45:29 +0000

Good point.

I’ve gone with the Anderlecht game; http://selectabet.net/blog/2008/11/22/20000-challenge-bet-of-the-day-no37/

By: lionking

lionking — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:33:06 +0000

well…let bookies do all the hard work.. u could tell if the game will be under or overs with their odds.. same with corners.. if at the start of the match if they say over 11 or under 11 corners instead of over/under 10 we can make pretty sure they will feature lot of corners

By: lionking

lionking — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:30:48 +0000

i particularly like number of games in a set bet on live tennis matches.. thats the only bet i managed to get it right on tennis matches..lol

I tend to make acca with something else and eventually lose them

By: selectabet

selectabet — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:29:59 +0000

Yeah not a bad idea.

But I don’t have a System for no of corners!

By: lionking

lionking — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:27:56 +0000

i think number of corners is a better live bet than under/ overs. u get the pattern of how teams defend and how many corners they get.. and can put money on say over 10 or under 10 corners in a match.

By: selectabet

selectabet — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:19:42 +0000

Interesting. I’ll need to to a closer look.

I noticed you’d read the Q&A with Matt at Punt.com.

He trades Tennis – that’s all he does. During Wimbledon I was on MSN (or something) with him for the Final and he let me trade with him on Betfair.

It was fascinating. You can trade on each game, almost every point. He certainly knows his stuff and I think he must’ve traded about 90% of the games correctly. I manage to make a small profit with him.

Tennis is ideal for that kind of in-play betting coz there’s small distinct packages of play. I can’t think of a similar football market that would allow you trade so easily in a footy match unfortunately.

Probably Unders/Overs is the closest.

By: lionking

lionking — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:14:30 +0000

yeah.. that gives u way better value.. if u place ur bet after say 10 mins..considering no goal is scored..ur odds wiill increase atleast by 0.30

If the odds before the start of match for overs is 1.5 after 10 mins it goes to 1.80

By: selectabet

selectabet — Sat, 22 Nov 2008 18:08:21 +0000

Interesting you should mention that as I had a wee peek at Betfair for one of the live games last week.

I’ve et to decide if it’s better to adopt a poistion (i.e. overs) before the game starts or to give it 10 mins and see how the shape of the game looks. Of course if a goal is scored early on you lose all the potential value before you’ve even started.

What do you think? Are you playing in-running?